Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Siniakova/Townsend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a661bb1fdc55533dc6cd418baaed168c96adfbcc35bb59c76e34abb26e40d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucsa/Melicharof Bucsa/Melichar, Siniakova/Townsend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 9c | 381.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Bucsa/Melichar | 70c | 368.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 73c | 192.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bucsa/Melichar | 62c | 178.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucsa/Melichar | 72c | 171.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucsa/Melichar | 45c | 115.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bucsa/Melichar | 32c | 115.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bucsa/Melichar | 22c | 114.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Bucsa/Melichar | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Bucsa/Melichar | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Siniakova/Townsend | 70c | 99.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed Bucsa/Melichar | 49c | 91.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Siniakova/Townsend | 65c | 87.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bucsa/Melichar | 39c | 83.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Siniakova/Townsend | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Bucsa/Melichar | 33c | 54.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Bucsa/Melichar | 74c | 53.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 51.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 50.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bucsa/Melichar | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Bucsa/Melichar | 38c | 32.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Siniakova/Townsend | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.