Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf503a716266217e84a935da5d3534a874b8e6640bb2a470f0610d028ca3ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Jodar, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Jodar | 59c | 1,418$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.72 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Darderi | 39c | 904.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.04 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Darderi | 39c | 636.52$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jodar | 47c | 626.78$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Darderi | 53c | 600$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…4b33backed Jodar | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Darderi | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Darderi | 36c | 393.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Jodar | 70c | 384.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Darderi | 45c | 306.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Jodar | 65c | 306.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 35c | 306.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Darderi | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Jodar | 67c | 298.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darderi | 61c | 232.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jodar | 63c | 231.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Jodar | 62c | 207.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…5115backed Jodar | 67c | 170$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Jodar | 44c | 165.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed Darderi | 37c | 146.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Darderi | 38c | 146.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Jodar | 71c | 141.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Jodar | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Darderi | 33c | 106.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Darderi | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Darderi | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762c…9526backed Jodar | 64c | 81.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Darderi | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Jodar | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Jodar | 56c | 71.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Jodar | 65c | 67.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Darderi | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Darderi | 26c | 67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jodar | 61c | 61.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Darderi | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Jodar | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Darderi | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Darderi | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Jodar | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Darderi | 54c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jodar | 64c | 39.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Jodar | 63c | 32.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Darderi | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jodar | 70c | 29.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…2f0cbacked Darderi | 79c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Darderi | 50c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…c103backed Jodar | 80c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45c…d162backed Jodar | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Jodar | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderithis page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.