Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8c0deb52d9350dc0f243ad16fea0821b2c6a1251875aa8c7ab56b7924068d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Jodar, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Darderi | 57c | 7,000$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.75 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jodar | 42c | 2,801$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.47 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Jodar | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Jodar | 46c | 1,730$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.18 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Jodar | 48c | 1,674$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.89 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Jodar | 46c | 1,344$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.58 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jodar | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Darderi | 56c | 1,024$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.08 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Jodar | 46c | 872.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Darderi | 52c | 855.35$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.57 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Darderi | 54c | 825.61$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.33 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Darderi | 55c | 788.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jodar | 45c | 554.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Darderi | 57c | 528.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Darderi | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Jodar | 46c | 460.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Darderi | 54c | 454.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Jodar | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…0997backed Jodar | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Darderi | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Darderi | 54c | 393.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 54c | 386.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Darderi | 52c | 317.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Jodar | 45c | 307.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Jodar | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Darderi | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Darderi | 60c | 270$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Darderi | 70c | 232$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Darderi | 54c | 232$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…05fcbacked Jodar | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Darderi | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Darderi | 67c | 174.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Jodar | 47c | 154.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Jodar | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 19c | 74.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Jodar | 46c | 68.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Darderi | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Jodar | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Darderi | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Jodar | 46c | 46.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Jodar | 46c | 45.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Darderi | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Jodar | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Jodar | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jodar | 46c | 40.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Jodar | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Darderi | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Darderi | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Darderi | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Darderi | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Darderi | 53c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Jodar | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Jodar | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Darderi | 55c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jodar | 44c | 25.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Jodar | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Darderi | 57c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 74 | 74.3%55 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Darderi | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs DarderiDarderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.