Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656ed4323bd26bd69814ee5b8ab8b63fd40070804d648dce426c6649b092adcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 73,874$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,874.33 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 43,924$23,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,719.11 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 28,497$15,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,662.89 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 24,631$15,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.16 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 19,188$8,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,483.5 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 11,883$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 11,632$7,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.25 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 9,847$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 9,338$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.11 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 9,101$5,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.41 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 7,901$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.77 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 7,545$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.95 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 7,519$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 7,434$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.72 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 7,428$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 7,237$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 7,182$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 6,843$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 6,426$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 6,003$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 5,653$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.73 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 5,160$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 5,077$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 4,787$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.03 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 4,768$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.41 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,672$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.73 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,619$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.64 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,484$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.4 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 4,196$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.56 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 3,779$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.96 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 3,357$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.95 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 3,351$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.13 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,939$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.21 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,829$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,637$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,590$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.5 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,500$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 2,283$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.79 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,276$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.01 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,157$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.31 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.8 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,921$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.01 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,773$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.68 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,766$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,762$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.88 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,658$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.6 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,564$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.32 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,533$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,521$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.29 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,476$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.98 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,452$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.76 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.87 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,339$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,295$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.76 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Tundra Esports | 11c | 1,255$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,157$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,143$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,127$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.71 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,089$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.72 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.72 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,075$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 963.49$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 920.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 920.5$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.81 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 906.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 892.98$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 821.75$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68e…94b3backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 800$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 795.08$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 761.64$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 746.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 741$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 740.05$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 716.61$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.47 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 704.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 699.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 619.69$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.53 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 605.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 603.56$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 601.85$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 591.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.32 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 584.53$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 571.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 568$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.