Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77012ddcfc76052297c01a380f4ebfe09b094be8e3b39a14f7944c058bc2dcf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 29c | 49,143$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,080.01 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 22,111$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.15 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 16,750$9,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.35 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 14,309$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.56 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 12,517$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 74c | 7,949$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.39 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 6,199$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.65 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 5,000$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.54 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,322$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.91 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,113$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.77 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,877$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.63 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,773$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.87 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,617$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.17 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,091$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.06 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,064$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.17 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,031$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.37 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,955$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.55 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,582$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.41 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,531$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 19c | 1,451$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,430$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.42 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,416$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.95 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,353$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,244$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.95 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,206$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.16 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,199$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,141$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,100$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.32 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,100$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,066$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 999.24$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.39 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 62c | 969.08$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 937.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 927.56$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 810.56$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 50c | 797.79$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 65c | 742.48$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.61 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 669.04$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons | 55c | 651.54$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Falcons | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 43c | 599.81$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Liquid | 33c | 562$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons | 64c | 515.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Liquid | 62c | 507.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.51 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 59c | 489.03$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Falcons | 69c | 450$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 439.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 9c | 395.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Falcons | 50c | 362.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons | 57c | 346.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team Liquid | 43c | 338$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Team Liquid | 19c | 334.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 312.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 308.63$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Team Liquid | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 292.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 266.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 252.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 245.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 49c | 235$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 234$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 45c | 229.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 228.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Liquid | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Team Liquid | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed Team Liquid | 41c | 194.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 189.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Team Falcons | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Liquid | 40c | 177.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…3c44backed Team Falcons | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 153.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team Falcons | 79c | 152$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 143$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 140.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Falcons | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Team Falcons | 54c | 111.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Falcons | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed Team Liquid | 15c | 99.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…0a87backed Team Liquid | 16c | 98.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 35c | 96.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 61c | 84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed Team Liquid | 61c | 82.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Liquid | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.