TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd250…8e3bbacked Team Liquid51c80,194$40,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,877.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons49c69,963$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,463.481,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Team Liquid50c19,002$9,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.024148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Team Falcons49c5,887$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.47728.6%22 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons59c5,064$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07510751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid49c4,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.9912630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Team Falcons51c3,896$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.36541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid52c3,805$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.5322842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Falcons48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9915144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…115abacked Team Falcons73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons52c2,893$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.5542145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid48c2,802$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.211,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid41c2,057$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.997060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8735…db43backed Team Falcons74c2,040$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons56c1,786$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.1713456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons57c1,764$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.291,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid48c1,688$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.2244645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons49c1,668$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.689850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons50c1,612$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.6396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Team Liquid50c1,550$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7752737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Liquid23c1,533$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.516237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Team Falcons49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.611450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid25c1,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Falcons74c1,341$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.14245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons47c1,333$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.491,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid37c1,263$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6545750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid41c1,214$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7745139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Falcons50c1,191$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.513938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid48c1,187$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6417146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons49c1,169$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.1917452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Liquid43c1,119$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7710618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Team Liquid31c1,109$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7137223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Team Falcons49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4110645.3%48 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28085851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9929143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid27c999.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9917133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid34c996$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Team Falcons51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.396031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5420367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons52c940.73$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.6515151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid55c913.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons48c887$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3189938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons69c881.7$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons46c852.08$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Falcons61c817.01$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7120740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Team Falcons47c733$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1612447.6%59 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Team Liquid41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid39c669.49$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2364744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Team Falcons51c622.21$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.882576%19 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Falcons51c621.53$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.557152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid26c617.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.051,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Team Falcons51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2423347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Team Falcons49c575.1$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.310036%36 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Falcons49c575$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2510741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons58c565.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.874761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Team Falcons49c507.78$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Team Falcons51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24512854.7%70 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed Team Liquid28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid49c499.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.991,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid50c479.77$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons68c466.46$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.11,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Liquid51c456.03$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5710766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons49c437.78$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1938142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Team Liquid49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Team Falcons52c400.77$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3720738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Liquid52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid26c383.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.633644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Liquid47c364.85$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.486051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Team Falcons52c364.66$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.032352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid41c340.89$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0653139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Team Falcons63c331.45$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2212054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons52c329.22$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2233850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Liquid52c310$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.212868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d77…b6f4backed Team Liquid27c292.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Team Liquid51c285.26$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4912536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x533a…89aabacked Team Falcons50c272.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524f…2642backed Team Falcons49c267.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.352433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Liquid49c266.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Team Liquid51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309949.5%49 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Team Falcons73c252.04$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.059552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Liquid47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.510560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons70c249.89$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.052,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Team Liquid32c246.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.383033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Team Liquid41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.49561.1%58 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Team Liquid54c223.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.821464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid50c221$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5433445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Liquid49c215.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Team Liquid10c206$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8620535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Falcons49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0857735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Team Falcons53c201.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.186159%36 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Team Liquid50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons58c193.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8258746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Liquid52c184.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.222543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Team Falcons47c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2517330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6738167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.