Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94d8ffe8f4ba53d423817aaf8d2878948630204408c578e0a469f7801b0f8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 49c | 26,411$12,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,481.39 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 52c | 20,959$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,958.83 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 16,853$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.4 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 13,500$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 11,915$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.09 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 11,790$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.02 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 11,000$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.66 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 10,377$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.83 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 9,703$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.1 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Liquid | 47c | 9,031$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 8,110$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 20c | 7,418$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.76 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 7,276$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 7,017$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.21 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 47c | 6,749$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.69 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 4,685$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,332$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.91 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 4,245$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.91 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,850$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.05 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,746$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.38 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 3,500$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,589$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,585$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.32 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,576$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.25 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,535$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 2,465$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,333$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.89 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,086$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.58 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 27c | 2,082$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,754$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,726$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.62 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,547$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.22 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.92 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,537$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.08 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 1,533$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.77 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,526$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.62 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,525$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.32 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,264$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,260$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.13 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,228$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.52 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,224$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.72 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,149$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.27 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,063$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.35 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 994.37$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.03 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 979.44$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 61c | 922.15$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 42c | 849.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.71 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 831.74$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.71 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 76c | 716.67$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 670$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 606.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.13 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons | 48c | 600.01$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 51c | 596.4$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 555.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Falcons | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons | 54c | 530.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…9179backed Team Liquid | 16c | 529.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 527.7$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 49c | 519.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 509$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…eca0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 47c | 474.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 45c | 471.11$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 388.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Liquid | 52c | 388$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 61c | 378.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 49c | 370.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 370$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Team Falcons | 53c | 325.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 295.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Team Liquid | 56c | 293$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 292.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Team Liquid | 46c | 275$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 272.25$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Team Falcons | 39c | 255.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 51c | 249.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 44c | 239.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.