NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9685f5e8792b9e359b0648ae43aa954cea6b01395dcd040ad710320db69b5f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cavaliers	45c	21,944$9,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,136.85	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers	50c	10,877$5,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,441.21	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Pistons	55c	9,753$5,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,364.49	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	49c	8,448$4,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,302.71	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	55c	8,407$4,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,647.17	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons	56c	7,080$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Pistons	57c	5,263$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pistons	45c	5,024$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.79	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Pistons	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	43c	4,196$1,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,371.99	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	46c	2,654$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.09	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Pistons	43c	2,093$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	44c	1,927$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.38	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Pistons	56c	1,666$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.83	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons	51c	1,605$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.56	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c2…8c93backed Cavaliers	44c	1,586$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.89	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.34per pick	51cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Cavaliers	37c	1,514$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.22	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Pistons	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.91	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	20c	1,100$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	41c	1,061$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Pistons	46c	1,021$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	44c	999.98$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.99	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	50c	980$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	50c	980$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	51c	938.63$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.75	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons	64c	917.5$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.2	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Cavaliers	44c	765.91$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.91	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers	18c	699.29$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.78	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers	51c	623.53$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.53	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers	44c	620$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.2	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Pistons	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Cavaliers	46c	505.52$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.61	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pistons	54c	459$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.26	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Cavaliers	56c	437.5$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.5	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	55c	431.59$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.61	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Pistons	43c	350$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.5	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Cavaliers	46c	333.36$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.55	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers	32c	325.16$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.77	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Pistons	54c	306.62$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	228	44.7%102 W · 126 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons	49c	302$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.18	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	47c	287$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.82	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Pistons	44c	272.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pistons	79c	252.75$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers	44c	242.79$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.96	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Cavaliers	67c	225.45$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.45	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Cavaliers	45c	222.4$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.32	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cavaliers	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	362	48.1%174 W · 188 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ebc7backed Pistons	45c	220.31$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Cavaliers	44c	217.91$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.03	248	56.5%140 W · 108 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Cavaliers	45c	217.62$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.69	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Cavaliers	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers	44c	206.11$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.42	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons	55c	199.99$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.75	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f77…32cdbacked Cavaliers	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Pistons	56c	169.64$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Pistons	56c	157$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.92	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Pistons	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	440	52.5%231 W · 209 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Cavaliers	43c	138.1$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.1	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Pistons	59c	118.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.12	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers	52c	117.13$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons	56c	110.21$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.38	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Pistons	53c	94.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers	52c	92.37$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.24	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pistons	55c	92.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.66	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Pistons	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-5.8wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-28%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b27…7d50backed Pistons	50c	88$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	44c	85.8$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.05	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Cavaliers	20c	81$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.77	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Pistons	56c	80.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers	47c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers	45c	79.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b11…c845backed Cavaliers	28c	79.62$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Pistons	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers	38c	78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.36	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pistons	36c	73.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers	44c	68.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.97	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Pistons	48c	65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Cavaliers	56c	61.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Cavaliers	56c	61.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Cavaliers	56c	61.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Cavaliers	56c	61.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Cavaliers	57c	60.14$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.86	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Cavaliers	58c	59.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…3b10backed Pistons	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Pistons	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	424	34.4%146 W · 278 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers	50c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Pistons	44c	48.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1478…80debacked Cavaliers	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Pistons	55c	39.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36ef…0172backed Cavaliers	52c	37.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.19	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.7wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+118.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Cavaliers	44c	37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Cavaliers	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Pistons	50c	35.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Pistons	56c	33.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Pistons	49c	33.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…5767backed Pistons	63c	32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Cavaliers	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Pistons	56c	29.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers	67c	26.67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event