NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa213f30a37f3365fb963bee97fbe0b8dc0361913a8e0f1e02a5d1e71585b0505

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $582,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $601,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,903 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over	51c	287,077$144,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142,097.34	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	50c	145,666$72,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,388.83	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	138,580$69,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,317.48	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Under	49c	101,626$49,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,796.74	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.6wins	+0.27per pick	49cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	46,423$23,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,211.11	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under	50c	42,456$21,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,228	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	50c	28,849$14,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,518.82	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	55c	22,160$12,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,176.67	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33fb…6201backed Over	45c	15,685$7,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,626.74	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	9,555$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.53	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4842…4024backed Over	45c	7,634$3,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,198.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	46c	6,220$2,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,369.19	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under	49c	4,984$2,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,442.23	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over	44c	4,929$2,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,781.4	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Under	44c	4,909$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.34	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	4,521$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.28	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	44c	4,152$1,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.75	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.18	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under	54c	3,626$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.22	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Under	55c	3,449$1,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.09	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over	51c	2,765$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.91	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Under	53c	2,574$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under	69c	2,500$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,714.84	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	2,450$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.67	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under	56c	2,232$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over	47c	2,197$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.15	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	63c	2,109$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.67	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Under	52c	1,999$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.55	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	50c	1,646$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under	45c	1,548$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	40c	1,264$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	53c	1,242$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.35	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	51c	1,200$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	48c	1,140$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.46	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under	58c	1,047$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.34	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	28c	1,030$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.51	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	40c	1,022$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.91	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under	49c	1,005$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.54	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	52c	998.21$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.07	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d0…0a05backed Under	50c	894$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	51cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Under	70c	891.73$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.21	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under	56c	889.26$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under	55c	847.27$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	30c	816$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under	49c	750$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.5	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over	40c	750$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	45c	736.46$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.7	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under	53c	697.24$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.26	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Under	50c	691.63$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.82	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	61c	659.28$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.99	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under	51c	647.06$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc65a…0fd2backed Under	52c	541.42$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	48c	522.61$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.85	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	53c	518.08$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.69	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Under	49c	509.48$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Under	77c	499.99$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.99	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	54c	497.4$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.87	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over	29c	456.91$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.21	261	31%81 W · 180 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under	19c	424.41$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.72	312	22.1%69 W · 243 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…641cbacked Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…45dfbacked Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Under	49c	407.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	50c	402.89$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.04	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under	50c	399.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.86	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	46c	399.31$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.67	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	50c	386$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under	50c	385.09$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.27	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	53c	378.92$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.71	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	48c	373$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.8	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Under	53c	362$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.86	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+5.3wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Under	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	50c	350$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under	73c	342.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over	44c	342.5$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.8	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Under	62c	322.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under	50c	314$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Under	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	50c	304.56$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.28	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under	51c	303.92$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…eeb6backed Under	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over	46c	293.48$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.48	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	41c	259.55$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.13	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	52c	243.86$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.81	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3429…fb20backed Under	57c	242.26$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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