NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737f30753d9d216d44354e9aebdbcd89c2fac6630bc100a4a27b184ccf4d9da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 1c | 10,161$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.96 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,973$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 1c | 3,832$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 76c | 2,934$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.19 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 79c | 2,500$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.93 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 57c | 2,025$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.71 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 38c | 1,053$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.58 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 41c | 855$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Over | 73c | 499.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 43c | 454.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 25c | 446.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 15c | 299.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 25c | 260.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Under | 44c | 226.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 76c | 210.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 39c | 190.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Over | 17c | 136.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Under | 30c | 131.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Over | 77c | 130.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 117.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…f631backed Under | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Under | 30c | 92.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 90.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 51c | 87.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 66c | 85.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 43c | 70.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 70c | 66.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 23c | 66.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 28c | 63.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 59.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…740bbacked Under | 42c | 53.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 25c | 51.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Over | 64c | 45.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 72c | 41.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 72c | 41.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 72c | 41.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 72c | 41.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 58c | 38.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Over | 61c | 37.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Under | 37c | 37.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 29c | 34.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 78c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 32.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 28.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…cc98backed Over | 60c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…6db6backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 72c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 77c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 66c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.