NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd1bea856c7ab173546c9672756bf38030e032c7fa9c07e7985796ab61ca5cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf12…afb8backed Under | 65c | 10,797$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 53c | 8,300$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 32c | 6,931$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.25 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 4,269$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.5 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 53c | 3,421$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 31c | 3,369$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.76 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 74c | 3,000$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 30c | 2,931$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.52 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Under | 69c | 2,885$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 2,828$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 2,782$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 2,184$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.44 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 2,104$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.09 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 2,082$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 41c | 1,710$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.71 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 53c | 1,695$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 38c | 1,450$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.91 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 57c | 1,399$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.6 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 1,258$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 1,236$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 31c | 1,133$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.43 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 45c | 1,020$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.42 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 47c | 939.16$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 923$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 74c | 842$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 27c | 796.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…06bebacked Under | 72c | 768.87$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 754.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.02 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 69c | 729.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 606.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.73 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 44c | 601.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Under | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 30c | 590.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…b63fbacked Under | 71c | 585.2$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 74c | 538.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 535.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.86 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 76c | 527.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Over | 49c | 460.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Under | 63c | 443.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 30c | 430.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 44c | 428$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 366.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Under | 69c | 320.76$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 34c | 270.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 34c | 270.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Under | 71c | 249.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Under | 72c | 235.23$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 208$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 8c | 203$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 41c | 193.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…bcdebacked Under | 68c | 174.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Over | 31c | 172.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 30c | 148.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 42c | 147.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 71c | 140.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 38c | 131.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5079backed Under | 15c | 122.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…a191backed Over | 31c | 121.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 119.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 20c | 116.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…3ddcbacked Over | 20c | 115.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 71c | 110.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 34c | 105.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Over | 68c | 105.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 27c | 99.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bef4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 46c | 91.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 44c | 88.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 43c | 88.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 28c | 74.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Under | 68c | 72.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…d472backed Under | 71c | 71.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 56c | 63.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Over | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…e846backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 32c | 58.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…888fbacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…94a3backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.