NBA · resolved market
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ddbaf7eeaa7db82e08fb85f25904159f8c8b3b0fbca6b7800a1e9d50935f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 48c | 2,961$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.55 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 48c | 864.7$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 46c | 791.81$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.23 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 54c | 790.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.12 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Yes | 55c | 370.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 56c | 355.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 227.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 199.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked No | 51c | 192.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes | 55c | 181.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 48c | 119.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 45c | 87.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed No | 45c | 73.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 47c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 47c | 51.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 53c | 48.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…5d6cbacked Yes | 54c | 46.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 45c | 40.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…9903backed Yes | 55c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…70f4backed Yes | 53c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed No | 48c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.