NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3342e6c5584558238db0091d842badeec8d35da4fa968a3610a44cc190a0ed75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 38,665$18,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,831.39 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 35,412$17,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,705.81 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 52c | 30,244$15,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,868.83 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…25afbacked Under | 49c | 16,800$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 52c | 15,842$8,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,202.02 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 48c | 14,944$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.31 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 13,449$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 11,734$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.36 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 53c | 7,978$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.34 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 52c | 7,500$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 49c | 5,184$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.48 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 1c | 5,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 4,570$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 48c | 4,067$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 1c | 3,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.62 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 51c | 2,814$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.73 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,411$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 56c | 2,390$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 46c | 2,295$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,180$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.73 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 50c | 2,140$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Over | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…e79cbacked Over | 41c | 2,007$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,832$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 1,693$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.5 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.19 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 54c | 1,101$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.47 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 7c | 1,043$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 39c | 1,033$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.55 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 6c | 1,016$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.84 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.3 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 8c | 966$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 61c | 946.17$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.84 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 920.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.58 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 800.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 778.54$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 745$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.3 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 696.39$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 8c | 688$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 644.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 52c | 621.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.42 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 607$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 573.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 55c | 544.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 6c | 508$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 499.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Over | 54c | 412.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 56c | 387.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 47c | 377.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9725backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 60c | 366.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 364.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 49c | 322.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 46c | 315.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 51c | 290.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 288.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…c9bfbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 50c | 274$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…35dcbacked Over | 71c | 219.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4668…3b66backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 211.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…a0fdbacked Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…a031backed Over | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 32c | 179.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 161.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 159.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.