NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae87dfd14710e096ed3646f6bddc3b864fc87d6ccdfd0147536605b7317118e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 6,442$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.82 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 6,140$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.28 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 63c | 4,365$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.82 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 46c | 2,461$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.15 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 2,330$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,783$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Over | 51c | 1,734$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…dd42backed Over | 33c | 1,484$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6ba5backed Under | 47c | 1,260$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 1,145$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 52c | 1,129$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.19 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 1,021$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 47c | 847.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Under | 9c | 743.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 736.17$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.36 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 75c | 524.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 511$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 67c | 509.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 11c | 377.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…96babacked Under | 41c | 245.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 239$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 39c | 211.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 51c | 208$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Over | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Over | 49c | 148.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 146.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…db10backed Under | 51c | 143.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 52c | 130.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 52c | 119.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 17c | 118.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 65c | 117.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 52c | 95.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 65c | 87.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 66c | 75.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…0379backed Over | 51c | 68.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 60c | 66.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 52c | 64.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 52c | 57.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 57c | 53.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…7592backed Over | 75c | 52.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Under | 50c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 56c | 43.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 42.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Under | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 69c | 39.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 50c | 34.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 41c | 33.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 46c | 26.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 50c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Under | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Over | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.