TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7736…73e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10015%15 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+418%+$186.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$84.15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$35.05
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.85
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.44
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.71
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.1
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+232.1%+$97.95
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$87.4
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$58.6
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.76
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+251.9%+$54.31
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+437.4%+$211.56
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$50.82
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$48.14
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$51.94
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$78.95
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.69
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.86
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$217.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.