TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$987,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$985,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b4e…0232backed Over50c210,147$105,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,171.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c200,000$99,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,50054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Under49c152,112$74,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,534.771776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over54c115,425$62,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,197.2134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c75,081$37,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,387.9737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c62,319$31,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,675.969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over39c51,786$19,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,788.9166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Over50c26,700$13,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,350.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c24,004$12,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c23,225$11,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,716.2855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0da…f3f0backed Over63c20,000$12,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,318.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c18,000$9,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,16089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf7…3affbacked Over50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under40c15,771$6,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,309.8461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,935$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.151,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over50c12,677$6,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,338.635345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under49c11,617$5,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,692.5512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under8c10,923$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c10,728$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,36437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under2c10,500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under50c10,368$5,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over51c10,367$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,096.9414946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.927963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1711…9ba2backed Over50c9,542$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,771425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under50c8,964$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48215850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under50c8,800$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c8,439$4,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.6714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over37c8,193$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under38c8,164$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.239349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c7,619$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over49c7,159$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.2415952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Over76c6,762$5,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.0118556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over51c6,149$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.0212240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c6,121$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.42,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under63c5,563$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.4852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Over49c5,100$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60119653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over50c5,030$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5155940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over52c4,955$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.1817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under49c4,245$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…4b3cbacked Over51c4,101$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over49c4,095$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.2857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under42c4,005$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c3,453$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.451,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over18c3,411$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.9911034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Under51c3,255$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6603256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…04debacked Under51c2,504$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under49c2,244$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c2,181$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.4464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c2,166$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over40c2,024$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.558752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under34c2,000$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96017042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c1,927$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under38c1,857$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.0718743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c1,685$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under51c1,641$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.317156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c1,534$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.6665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75024247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Under50c1,472$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.894332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…3bcdbacked Over51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c1,349$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under49c1,267$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c1,260$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over53c1,256$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,233$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.172,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Over41c1,229$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.054452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over54c1,153$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.256048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under63c1,146$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over51c1,106$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.782646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,105$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…9feabacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over40c999.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Over52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.995770.2%40 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over50c993.79$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c963.16$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.911,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over49c899.97$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.992171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under44c899.97$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over22c888.41$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.9613441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Under67c849.37$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under49c837.41$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.338744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.