NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85da71517c063197ba19922441e4adcbfb6a262518cf12b67e92a5463a83a1e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 62c | 803.38$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…aeb8backed Yes | 39c | 446.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 64c | 218.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 65c | 179.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 69c | 143.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 34c | 119.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 69c | 101.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 97.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 35c | 91.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 30c | 78.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 63c | 69.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 34c | 61.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1025backed Yes | 33c | 56.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 34c | 52.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…e968backed Yes | 71c | 47.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 36.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 71c | 18.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 65c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.