NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2458895c8366ade4a942d4d195616294d509772e7bdf52c918d17f99e92df3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 56c | 1,069$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.51 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 50c | 566.05$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.03 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 49c | 404.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 44c | 342.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Yes | 45c | 335.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 53c | 326.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 297.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 45c | 265.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 41c | 239.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 60c | 151.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 57c | 120.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…aeb8backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 50c | 103.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 48c | 86.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes | 44c | 85.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Yes | 47c | 85.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…ef54backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 53c | 81.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Yes | 46c | 76.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 57c | 62.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 54c | 48.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 52c | 41.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5084backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 55c | 39.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…d7edbacked Yes | 45c | 37.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Yes | 45c | 35.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 33.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…da0dbacked Yes | 46c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked No | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed No | 56c | 18.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.