NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde3f9e35b32a99b679ad3f4ecfc25062071face5ac28cd83a3c6554be65b578e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,825,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,102,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,825,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Spurs | 65c | 571,414$368,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,441.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 33c | 503,974$165,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,598.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs | 66c | 296,417$195,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,781.64 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Spurs | 77c | 235,840$181,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,194.21 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 66c | 153,743$101,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,272.51 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 144,972$48,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,994.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 143,290$50,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,151.52 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 24c | 139,923$34,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,251.16 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 65c | 139,873$91,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,505.71 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 75c | 134,507$100,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,616.28 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Spurs | 78c | 106,776$82,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,902.83 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 14c | 103,232$14,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,647.05 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 64c | 97,144$62,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,971.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Timberwolves | 34c | 89,747$30,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,513.98 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 75c | 86,035$64,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,084.74 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 80c | 77,591$61,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,732.72 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Timberwolves | 32c | 77,295$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Timberwolves | 34c | 75,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Spurs | 73c | 73,992$53,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,119.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 69,699$17,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,451.89 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 36c | 67,342$24,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,243.17 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves | 34c | 62,000$21,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,080 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Spurs | 66c | 56,241$36,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,371.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves | 34c | 55,757$18,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,957.35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 54,457$14,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,445.88 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 8c | 52,427$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.86 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 30c | 50,862$15,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,357.13 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Spurs | 72c | 48,445$35,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,385.46 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 48,400$16,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,414.49 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 33c | 44,467$14,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,674.17 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 44,000$15,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,413.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs | 66c | 43,000$28,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,620 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 65c | 42,896$27,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,142.4 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 74c | 39,633$29,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,363.44 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 29c | 39,082$11,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,229.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 18c | 38,845$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.31 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 38,708$12,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,939.63 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 70c | 38,563$26,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,735.76 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 73c | 35,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 34c | 34,365$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Spurs | 67c | 32,023$21,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,567.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 35c | 30,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 35c | 27,145$9,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,619.3 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Spurs | 67c | 26,473$17,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,773.91 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Timberwolves | 29c | 25,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.97 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.95 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Timberwolves | 36c | 24,097$8,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,675.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Timberwolves | 34c | 23,893$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.17 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 75c | 23,536$17,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,951.66 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves | 35c | 23,326$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.1 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 23,000$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 21,498$6,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 35c | 20,871$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…5e9ebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 20,629$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Spurs | 64c | 20,500$13,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,324.97 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 20,421$7,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.81 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Spurs | 67c | 19,527$13,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480.49 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 33c | 19,358$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.57 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Timberwolves | 34c | 19,109$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves | 0c | 17,902$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 66c | 17,530$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.09 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 79c | 17,000$13,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Timberwolves | 30c | 16,833$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 74c | 16,401$12,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.53 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Timberwolves | 19c | 16,130$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.59 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Spurs | 69c | 15,744$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.14 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…2b9abacked Timberwolves | 33c | 15,283$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.14 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 67c | 15,039$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.42 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 14,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Timberwolves | 27c | 13,982$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.23 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Spurs | 65c | 13,880$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs | 66c | 13,504$8,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.22 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 13,500$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.03 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 63c | 13,288$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.57 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 73c | 13,043$9,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.15 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Spurs | 67c | 13,030$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.2 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 69c | 12,500$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.96 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Timberwolves | 36c | 12,450$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.55 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Spurs | 79c | 12,387$9,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.12 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Timberwolves | 28c | 12,360$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.5 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 12,308$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.64 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 27c | 12,200$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.99 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c5b0backed Timberwolves | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves | 22c | 11,913$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 30c | 11,489$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 20c | 11,248$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.54 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves | 32c | 11,230$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.1 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 26c | 10,700$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 69c | 10,624$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 10,566$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Spurs | 77c | 10,536$8,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.63 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves | 8c | 10,500$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.5 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Timberwolves | 17c | 10,441$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.25 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 31c | 10,409$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.38 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spurs | 66c | 10,296$6,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.52 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…416ebacked Spurs | 67c | 10,278$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 34c | 10,271$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.29 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 10,258$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.54 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 36c | 10,257$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.