TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x034a…e968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.56
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74%+$1,196.96
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.92
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$667.37
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$107.25
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$999
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.44
Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.46
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,895.99
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,539.99
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Koprivabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$129
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connellbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$393.4
Wimbledon WTA: Camila Osorio vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.95
Qatar Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+212.5%+$222.72
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Tatjana Maria vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$74.89
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$324
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.5
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$13.51
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.33
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.43
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$864.41
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.33
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$28.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.57
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$103.83
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+190.1%+$368.76
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.43
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+83%+$230.17
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$119.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.26
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.37
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.03
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$767
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.97
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$413.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will FC Porto vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+211.1%+$139.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+36.9%+$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$132.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.