La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a62e8b493d599a7df1f40bd28b4e414daa30246cbae65753a4e7fdf2f5b90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 51c | 6,380$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 3,361$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.96 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 932.08$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 590.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 51c | 540.68$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 509.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 489.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 470.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.18 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 50c | 334.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 73c | 287.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 228$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 219.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…e968backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 184.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 180.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 50c | 150.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 49c | 147.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 121.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 50c | 108.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…7554backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 53.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 51c | 41.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 44c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…4dafbacked Yes | 67c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.