TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c22,453$9,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,361.183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under31c9,099$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.162944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c5,278$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.511,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c2,878$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c2,767$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.833,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c2,753$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.6668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under74c2,718$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under59c2,400$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4169457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c1,768$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.2917731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c1,681$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under60c1,506$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.376160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c1,490$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.634,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under59c1,125$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.711054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over39c999.96$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.976756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under62c984.42$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c968.53$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c860.84$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.171,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47210257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under34c589.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over43c572.44$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4412650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under50c558.93$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.934528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over29c544.83$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.833432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under59c533.63$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8424147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under4c351.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01230%0 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c323$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.671,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under59c320$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.89753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under59c280$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.28758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under62c239.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.447750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.29558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under62c216.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under56c213.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c207.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.291,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1284146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1188457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under61c172.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.183844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under63c171.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.496163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c129$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under60c116$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.611736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c112.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over45c108.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under60c105.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7245450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Over40c98.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.29163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over42c76.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.196349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over68c73.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under63c67.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.624852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under59c64.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.347661.8%47 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under52c52.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.087346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0849228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c47.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under61c45.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.685375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under36c43.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over30c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c34.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…4ccdbacked Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under60c33.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under71c33.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c3…fca3backed Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Under61c32.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under62c32.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under59c32.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9419358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under39c31.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3821139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over40c30.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1222246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.618653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.920253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Over69c29.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.283243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2519865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under62c22.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.145052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under59c22.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.025343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under60c21.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under61c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8114856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under62c20.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under61c19.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.775158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.