La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d6a3e475f74df905d46b4cba815770ca55166fdf7107d5adbd78cce4f458de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 1,119$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.13 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 725.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…502ebacked Under | 32c | 684.83$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 675.38$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 64c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 66c | 263.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 32c | 171.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 155.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 129.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 70c | 105.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 90.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 33c | 82.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 79c | 63.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 59.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 53.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 40.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 32c | 39.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 27.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.