La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff420756740fe37059b6489d76174def2c41c9b5f45e76ce3dcd76c54139ed09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 20c | 4,914$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.57 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,384$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.32 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 1,947$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 1,048$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 690.8$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 610.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 311.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 20c | 299$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 71c | 280.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 22c | 212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 193.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 80c | 188.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 158$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 22c | 109.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 86.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 79c | 78.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 79c | 78.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 71c | 73.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 57c | 52.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 40c | 43.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…baddbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 80c | 32.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 60c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.