TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2c3…fca3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.31
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.82
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$29.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swanbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$5.53
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Felix Gill vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Kaja Juvanbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.56
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Matteo Martineau vs Martin Dammbacked Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick60cpaid-81%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will NEC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$81.25
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.