Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f845891a1ff92d0e4bac682116a8148728a0af24f0307790af6f145caad5ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 49c | 29,967$14,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,283.17 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 5,421$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.29 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 53c | 3,779$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,049$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 1,771$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 52c | 1,406$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 45c | 1,255$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.81 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 49c | 938.78$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 52c | 604.7$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 50c | 522$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed No | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 53c | 488.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 49c | 409.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 51c | 400$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 53c | 377.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 42c | 339.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 310$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 53c | 272.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…a2aabacked No | 31c | 255.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 232.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 228.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…25eebacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 79c | 190.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 53c | 189.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 53c | 189.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 51c | 188.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 180.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 177.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 134.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…c31cbacked Yes | 52c | 133.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…41b7backed Yes | 77c | 129.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…fca3backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 50c | 121.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Yes | 79c | 112.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 55c | 109.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…57c1backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 50c | 93.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 53c | 76.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…5e26backed Yes | 80c | 62.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…571ebacked Yes | 73c | 58.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 53c | 48.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 66c | 47.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 42c | 39.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…3d1fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes | 53c | 36.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 70c | 30.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 57c | 28.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…9e49backed Yes | 52c | 24.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed No | 49c | 23.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.