TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x760d…deaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.21
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Valencia vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+54.6%+$16.37
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.