TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes49c18,069$8,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,215.426051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c17,995$10,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.444,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c16,060$9,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,305.11,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No51c14,470$7,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,379.6429545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes48c9,187$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No52c8,379$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.889028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c8,302$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.7590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes34c7,119$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.324922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes73c5,171$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.9926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+84.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes48c4,954$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.42931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c4,904$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.3969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked No53c4,743$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.6580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+164.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3402748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes75c4,287$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.7415036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c4,287$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.7930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…106dbacked Yes48c3,526$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes48c3,401$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.753145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c3,142$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd116…7468backed Yes46c2,682$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes47c2,069$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.72365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Yes49c2,048$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.986431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Yes47c1,999$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c1,956$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…47eebacked No53c1,952$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked No52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No51c1,575$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes53c1,563$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.5340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes28c1,526$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.5214067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8853452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes46c1,462$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.472853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c1,283$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes32c1,282$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.572360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe214…e516backed Yes47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes72c1,078$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed No18c1,033$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5350%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes48c1,009$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.877045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes49c1,004$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c984.69$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.3253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes31c954.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.323243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.522335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes48c944.33$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes46c911.32$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.119347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bee…aa9ebacked No53c898.98$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c883.69$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2913045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes62c715.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3312626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d4…a59fbacked No53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe63…2de4backed Yes47c689.36$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3257448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…91f5backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No15c592.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.262965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c511$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2656755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes48c467.87$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2910437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes48c463.56$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c454$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35a4…23febacked No53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes48c391.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.676753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes30c390$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No54c387.87$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No26c375.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.728125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes48c374.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.822751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes49c368.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.021478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes47c366.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes45c361.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes47c346.6$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6615…3abcbacked No54c336$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes30c331.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3913824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes32c329.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.875825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes32c325.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.523138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec6…4651backed No54c312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064f…e8e6backed Yes54c292$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes47c285.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1111049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes45c272$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2712925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes46c239.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.558521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x547b…202abacked No54c231$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe027…af7abacked No54c223$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…b8aabacked No54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd773…b9e5backed No54c218$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c210.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2815646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3326545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…65a1backed No54c206$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671e…7d17backed Yes48c204.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.131070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.