TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec73…6af3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.08
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.05
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$24.47
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Espanyol vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$66.45
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$130.72
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.7%+$226.53
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$194.82
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$87.75
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$40.14
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$67.88
Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.7
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$103.11
Will Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.16
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$117.23
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$112.38
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.29
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Mozambique win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$55.21
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$63.3
Will Finland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$37.35
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$86.71
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$54.16
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$94.38
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$85.25
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.48
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Will Poland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$68.57
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-10-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$322
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$102.61
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$157
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$93.65
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$160.69
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$48.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$404
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$86.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33.82
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$53.08
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.6
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+73.4%+$101.52
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$62.46
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.71
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$50.78
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Juventus vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$74.36
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$137.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$147.99
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$78.94
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$44.44
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$38.42
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+209.4%+$201.04
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$39.23
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+153.8%+$61.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.02
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$105.75
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$56.26
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$65.69
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-85.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.89
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Trump announce Stephen Miran to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.84
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$130.62
Will CA Unión win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$41.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14-16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.