Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb627a6902c1d37d1c156ff533f3ba77453c5b576e01f9653ff5946ec21ca6e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 4,532$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,752$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 77c | 1,750$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 9c | 1,729$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 1,096$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.36 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 897.14$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 32c | 896.63$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 78c | 749.01$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…0441backed Yes | 34c | 743$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 32c | 557.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 537$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 491$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.12 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 421.34$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 31c | 357.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 31c | 316.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 33c | 305.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 6c | 280.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 67c | 265.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 32c | 256.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 244.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…362cbacked Yes | 34c | 161.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 34c | 129.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 33c | 120.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 119.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2368…2411backed Yes | 72c | 115.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 99.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 73c | 96.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 47c | 78.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 33c | 75.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 33c | 75.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…88c0backed No | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 69c | 63.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 62.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…307fbacked Yes | 79c | 57.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed No | 22c | 47.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…f168backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 45.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 42.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…fd01backed Yes | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 40.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…745bbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…1176backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…675cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…2dbcbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 68c | 23.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…e764backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.