TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c6f…1176

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.81
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.65
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.22
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.11
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55.59
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$36.07
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.91
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31.52
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.18
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.19
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.