TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No48c39,980$19,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,152.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,25031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes51c23,751$12,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,638.0618958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes53c20,435$10,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,547.516357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No46c13,760$6,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,329.621853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c12,961$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,092.761,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c11,153$5,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,340.251,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes54c7,712$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.511770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.569636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes53c5,229$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.2111945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No46c4,519$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.6420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c4,469$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No48c4,188$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No48c3,693$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.131,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c3,533$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No29c2,891$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.2151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No47c2,393$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No45c2,291$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.1230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed No46c2,155$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.281631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No50c2,103$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.6111162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c2,048$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.291,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes54c2,014$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.251833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes50c1,926$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.7712545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c1,857$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.4346651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.856746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70519729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c1,388$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c1,156$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.51,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c1,097$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.621,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes53c1,047$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.172339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed No47c1,021$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes54c1,000$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed No48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No44c983$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c960.9$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.374,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes52c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.248348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes49c856.62$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.875160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Yes53c848.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f3…2252backed No48c749.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No46c717.44$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.021030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No28c700$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No43c638.44$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5530739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28225836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes52c574.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.049537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.565446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No48c552.68$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.296450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No45c541.82$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8214254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No52c516.48$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.576150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes53c508.39$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23021839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.775841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes55c469.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes45c447$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22016453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes64c421.11$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes53c407$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2936845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes80c402$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20422534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes51c395.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.862623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes51c391.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.517755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes51c388.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.689736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes50c386.5$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.586048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7c…3d2fbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes55c371.55$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.23050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.378043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x139e…397ebacked Yes50c358.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86e…7395backed Yes55c358.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.183447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f7…314abacked No51c309.8$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14154128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…b9d2backed No53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x805e…e345backed Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No47c296.9$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14129458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes43c295.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.352540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c244.69$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes54c234.13$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes54c228.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.188942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f6…6156backed Yes47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…1e29backed No53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c211$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.681,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d4…afd4backed Yes50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa208…aa91backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb728…fc92backed Yes53c200.09$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.398356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.