TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c20,779$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.766,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes20c8,100$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No79c8,044$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.192552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes18c5,915$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes20c5,555$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.781546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes20c3,275$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6559849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c3,050$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57018958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c2,965$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.41,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes13c2,959$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No78c2,788$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.461764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes20c2,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes24c2,237$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes19c2,119$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes20c2,056$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2818433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec6…4651backed No76c1,831$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.441250%6 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c1,130$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.51,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes3c1,021$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.693842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes21c1,012$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed Yes22c999.21$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No76c800$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19612042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c777.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes24c726.21$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.311,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No76c690.79$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7911855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked No80c665.51$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ecd…c01ebacked No76c618$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No78c615.38$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3813449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No76c592.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1111052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No77c531.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+130%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked No79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No79c499.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes18c477.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No78c463.74$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.861,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2b…1fcfbacked No76c429$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff83…a97dbacked Yes25c422$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…bd56backed No76c414$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7e…d571backed No76c389$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes20c386.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcad…8d82backed Yes24c378$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d89…3522backed No76c368$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.32966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes25c358$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.515049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes22c351.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.48942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b58…a3cbbacked No76c346$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a57…c9c4backed Yes24c325$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49d…f8bcbacked No76c323$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa376…4398backed No76c315$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc248…2c0ebacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…4067backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6089…0568backed No76c290$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e5…612cbacked Yes24c281$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fb…774abacked No76c279$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa968…6614backed No76c273$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…7245backed Yes24c271$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…b551backed Yes24c270$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7220…f284backed Yes24c261$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b1…af7dbacked No76c254$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.965100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8f5…0ffcbacked No76c254$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d53…2b07backed Yes24c252$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66a…5610backed No76c251$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8a…c6eabacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d90…2e6cbacked Yes24c240$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ef…dbebbacked Yes24c237$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678f…f0a4backed No76c235$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4323…ecbabacked Yes24c232$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b29…4330backed Yes24c232$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab6…1033backed Yes24c227$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No80c220$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da4…c347backed No76c220$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3e…e119backed Yes24c219$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69b…adb0backed No76c218$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…8296backed Yes24c216$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0901…89d6backed Yes24c216$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d293backed Yes24c214$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c3…285ebacked Yes24c213$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes18c212.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…8914backed Yes24c211$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes21c209.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.297328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes18c206$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…20a4backed No76c205$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+108.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda2a…b080backed Yes24c203$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c5…4435backed Yes24c202$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes21c198$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4002…14abbacked No76c198$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.37366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20b…874abacked Yes24c193$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f61…1f41backed No76c193$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed No77c192.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a6…ba63backed No76c188$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf72b…affebacked Yes24c186$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ef…3732backed No76c186$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5639…eee8backed Yes24c185$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed No76c184.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.211291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.