TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x41f6…4067

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$82.46
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$238.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$117.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$353.4
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$732
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$33.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$115.2
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41.61
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+308.2%+$909.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.59
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$114.38
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+192.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Bitcoin reach $114K August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$37.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$237.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$44.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.