MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5693e3da780cf111e558fac97c40d99c628078887a17e023c5971c316dff9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $830,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 93,160$49,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,495.81 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Detroit Tigers | 7c | 57,219$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 54,530$28,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,733.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 45,650$21,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,668.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 43,392$25,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,843.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.97 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 33,356$15,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,659.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 29,868$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 24,566$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,597.09 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 22,740$11,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,824.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 22,637$7,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,413.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 7c | 22,198$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 21,238$12,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 20,441$13,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,774.07 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 19,477$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 18,874$10,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,658.45 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 0c | 14,769$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 13,190$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 10c | 11,953$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 11,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 9,600$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.01 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 8,841$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 7,073$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 6,381$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Detroit Tigers | 0c | 5,407$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 4,726$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.43 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 4,341$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Detroit Tigers | 5c | 4,332$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 7c | 4,314$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 3,977$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.09 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 3,702$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.14 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 3,280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 3,236$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,229$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.17 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,020$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,990$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 2,227$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.85 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 2,028$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.25 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Detroit Tigers | 6c | 2,018$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,005$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.81 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,954$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,836$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.44 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,776$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,720$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.59 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,506$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,383$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.16 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,284$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 1,230$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 1,123$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…2f88backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,081$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…ca38backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,060$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 979.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 957.75$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 5c | 924.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 909.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 888.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.88 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Detroit Tigers | 10c | 872.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 866$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 853.08$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 835.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 829.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 820$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Detroit Tigers | 7c | 802.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Detroit Tigers | 6c | 800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 777.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 717.56$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c99cbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 689.93$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 659.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 647.5$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 608.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 604.86$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 595.85$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 589.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 587$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 585.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 583.78$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.