MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac543d43a51fcf977bff5a4f86c0422afeaf1c5d030d4e6a8f80b4596ea9dea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 185,990$85,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,555.59 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 62,194$33,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,609.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 46c | 14,657$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 54c | 8,796$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.3 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 43c | 6,150$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.35 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 5,957$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 5,162$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.85 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 4,994$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.44 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 4,874$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.07 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 4,874$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.07 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 53c | 2,131$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.72 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 1,499$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.21 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 47c | 1,209$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.48 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 813.92$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 795.95$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 720$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 54c | 561.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 396.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 344.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 9c | 264.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 41c | 262.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 229.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 54c | 198.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 195.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 54c | 182.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…081ebacked Over | 51c | 171.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 23c | 159.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 46c | 150.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 124.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 114.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 54c | 101.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 54c | 91.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 90.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 55c | 83.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 47c | 73.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 55c | 68.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 47c | 57.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 38.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 71c | 34.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 31.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e31…3df4backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Under | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 55c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.