TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over46c185,990$85,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,555.5943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,00055053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c62,194$33,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,609.014,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over46c14,657$6,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,742.314847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Under54c8,796$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.323846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over43c6,150$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.3512640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under57c5,957$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.9511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under54c5,162$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.852,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c4,994$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.4459549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c4,874$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.071,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c4,874$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.071,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under53c2,131$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.7285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.461,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506942%29 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under53c1,499$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.423,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over47c1,347$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2139047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over47c1,209$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5683528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Under53c1,010$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.486058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under54c1,005$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.373748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c813.92$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.545,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c795.95$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.586,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c720$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under54c561.98$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6126948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18449450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c396.28$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.331,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3747545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3738455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c344.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2925249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13559150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under54c280$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over9c264.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Over41c262.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.558643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c260$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.62,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c229.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.028,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under54c198.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3612257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under51c195.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7224950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1940348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under54c182.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0919752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfe…081ebacked Over51c171.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over23c159.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1933032.7%108 W · 222 L-22.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over46c150.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2549649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under52c124.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6232251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c114.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under54c101.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4757747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd60…3927backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under54c91.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c90.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Under55c83.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over47c73.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4316450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Under55c68.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.788140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610757.9%62 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over47c57.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5662554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fe…f901backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0543954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.518458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Over47c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.097647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c45.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c38.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.652,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under71c34.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8784651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under54c31.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.432,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd91…b49abacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Under53c29.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.013441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ddc…7b90backed Under55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.092352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0910560%63 W · 42 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.789150.5%46 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under57c26.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under52c26.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over47c25.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.951,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.158,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under51c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.296,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6425256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e31…3df4backed Under55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1211451.8%59 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c21.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0270455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Under54c21.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4512858.6%75 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a38…7210backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under55c19.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.