TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92fe…f901

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.18
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$25.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.