MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ce837f1b99ddc98924b3765f4e831a45c17583aa0e2391f4e230e9b8f23e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 315,641$148,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,289.96 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 53c | 212,977$112,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,835.49 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,400 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 44,444$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.76 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 39,795$18,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,489.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 13,832$7,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 9,553$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 7,883$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.49 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 6,672$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 47c | 3,510$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 2,150$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 1,314$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.77 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,206$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 1,142$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 1,099$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 1,085$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 844$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 733$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.82 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 50c | 694.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 645.21$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.45 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 613.7$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 589.32$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 573.35$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.94 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 547.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 51c | 524.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 64c | 468.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 47c | 407$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 375.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 46c | 375.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 35c | 370$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 57c | 345.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 79c | 310.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 289.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 279.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 252$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 58c | 227.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 58c | 189.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 58c | 170.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 58c | 170.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 163.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 43c | 162.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 155.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 129.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 58c | 126.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 59c | 122.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 115.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 34c | 109.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 107.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 90.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 88.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 64.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…dc02backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…4933backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 50c | 38.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 57c | 37.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Under | 54c | 35.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 32c | 33.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 50c | 33.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 54c | 32.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 42c | 32.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 58c | 27.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Under | 58c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Under | 58c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 55c | 25.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 48c | 21.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.