MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e7f0768c279d83b8cdee53de90a772cad02eb2c9f5ef31ee89863dfc27358a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 359,717$168,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,484.4 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 110,144$22,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,914.58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 80,015$63,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,810.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,400 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 35,000$18,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,699.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 26,798$14,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,095.15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 20,531$9,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 20,382$10,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,912.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 13,301$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 11,379$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.42 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 10,355$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 9,717$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 9,514$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.74 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 9,300$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,962$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,868$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 6,117$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.95 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 4,945$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,830$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 4,777$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 4,719$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 4,041$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 3,610$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 3,218$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,550$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 2,485$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 2,405$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,404$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.86 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 2,358$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 1,595$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,549$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,499$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.66 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,452$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.61 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,419$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,301$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,268$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,153$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.26 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,092$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,064$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.32 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,052$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.19 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 1,050$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,040$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,029$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.69 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 967$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 960$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 953.87$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 882.3$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 856.95$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.35 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 836$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 800$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.28 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 774.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.14 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 765.8$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.17 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 759.32$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 739.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 709.09$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 705.44$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 692.8$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 678.76$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 663.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 638$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 571.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 541.04$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 513.85$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 445$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…80abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 416$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 408.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 403$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 379.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 370$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 367$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.