MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27c4c9e7c9c3d09dfa5020082b713ba565250fd850333f593f73ad2fb9bd792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,276,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,150,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 419,060$196,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,286.89 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 378,991$200,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,865.49 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 198,925$63,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,424.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 135,272$73,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,749.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 118,135$53,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,255.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 110,483$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.38 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 72,000$46,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,980 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 42,000$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,679.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 38,573$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,669.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 35,134$18,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,915.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 31,425$17,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,735.81 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 25,730$18,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,184.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 25,206$13,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,472.82 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 24,544$11,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,253.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 15,559$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 13,698$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.85 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 11,805$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,868$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 10,493$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 9,600$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,973$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,960$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.53 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 5,886$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,305$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 5,159$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,599$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 3,575$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 2,965$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,758$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.92 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,735$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…a6c3backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 2,669$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,529$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,971$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,805$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,777$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,750$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,730$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.28 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,600$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,583$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 1,570$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,489$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,380$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,304$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,279$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,175$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.98 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,122$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,117$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.61 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,090$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,089$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 976.55$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.81 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 954.31$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 954$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 899.99$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 884.2$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.47 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 840$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 810$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 729.54$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 690$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 644.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 600$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 593.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 584.05$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 562.68$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 526.83$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 522.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 509$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 501.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 478.21$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.