MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71f627ef32b3b358419cba028824cebdbc54534780c7ed4db8583f68542130c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,353,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,357,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,353,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 295,359$137,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,134.09 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 294,463$126,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,606.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 147,070$84,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,214.68 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 102,222$58,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,266.41 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 98,073$46,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,502.16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 93,397$50,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,887.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 67,248$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 66,667$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000.18 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 65,428$39,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,006.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 61,574$29,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,132.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 36,000$19,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,079.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 25,728$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,420.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 24,708$13,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,354.95 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 21,901$16,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,789.83 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 21,733$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 21,500$11,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,395 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 15,308$9,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,490.74 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 14,040$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,147.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 13,791$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.01 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 13,547$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 11,702$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.3 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 10,503$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.77 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 10,379$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 9,992$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 9,633$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 9,534$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.63 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 9,433$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 9,200$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 9,103$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 8,062$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 7,966$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.96 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 7,929$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 7,856$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,455$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.02 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 6,436$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 5,286$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.39 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 5,000$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.45 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 4,926$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.63 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 4,905$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.91 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 4,172$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,852$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 3,634$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 3,597$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.27 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…b8d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,361$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,282$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,102$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,041$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.61 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +536.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,861$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.92 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,810$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,781$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.46 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,776$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.52 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,448$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,289$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,225$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,111$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 2,101$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,093$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.7 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,973$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,948$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.38 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,620$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,610$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.2 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,566$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,545$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.24 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,540$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.6 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,526$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.69 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,509$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.94 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,457$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,415$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.61 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,312$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.24 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 1,293$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.81 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,266$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.2 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,242$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,173$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,117$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,053$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,050$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.35 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.