MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6e26fb10de710d7c23f9d2828bb3ecbd9819d15df70dbe8f49e0fd64e2a640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Over | 51c | 99,000$50,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,608.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 57,281$28,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,109.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 12,624$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.85 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 7,102$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 5,284$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,596$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.12 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 49c | 2,456$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.44 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,444$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.42 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 66c | 1,821$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,791$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 1,554$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 1,500$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,486$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.27 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,400$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 1,068$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.18 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 939$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Over | 52c | 892.31$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 778.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 691.33$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 651.36$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.17 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 529.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Over | 10c | 439.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +536.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 52c | 408$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 46c | 399.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 379.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 33c | 245.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 41c | 201.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 190.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Under | 8c | 183.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 49c | 154.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 61c | 148.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 33c | 131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 69c | 117.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 33c | 111.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 52c | 98.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 83.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 78.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 78c | 53.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 71c | 50.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 68c | 47.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 43c | 40.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 57c | 40.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 58c | 33.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 69c | 31.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 51c | 30.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 71c | 30.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 38c | 26.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 24.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Under | 49c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7e77backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…04d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 77c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.