TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b6b…6b56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.45
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.64
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.11
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$113.42
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.24
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$88.78
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.39
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$99.55
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$140.25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.55
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.25
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$118.4
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.09
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.08
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.9
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$134.19
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.95
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.69
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.68
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$111.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.6
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$98.05
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.75
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$63
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$70.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.