UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b333e68a6c05e9d6cb10c2bbe112c6c928c53260c0998b9f7f7f0d61acec2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 43c | 100,202$43,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,082.56 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 57c | 86,511$49,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,412.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 57c | 34,444$19,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,811.06 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 56c | 9,533$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed Under | 56c | 3,510$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 2,333$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.82 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 56c | 2,030$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.79 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 45c | 1,826$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Over | 49c | 920.47$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 838.3$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.23 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Over | 44c | 615.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 590.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 582.72$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Under | 59c | 402.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 56c | 368$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 56c | 361$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 56c | 320.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Under | 56c | 289$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 57c | 282$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 255.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…5e7cbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 54c | 199.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked Over | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Over | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 56c | 182.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 155.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Under | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…775fbacked Under | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 56c | 144.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Under | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 57c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 116.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 55c | 113.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Over | 45c | 112.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 45c | 110.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 63c | 86.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Under | 56c | 84.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Over | 45c | 84.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Over | 44c | 80.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 44c | 78.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Under | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 58c | 75.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Under | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 57c | 68.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 37c | 61.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 45c | 59.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 58.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Under | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Under | 56c | 56.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 56.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed Over | 44c | 49.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Over | 45c | 49.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 55c | 48.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked Under | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…d6d2backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…95d7backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Under | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…88cabacked Under | 56c | 34.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 44c | 34.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 43c | 33.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +132%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Over | 44c | 31.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…73c1backed Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…ce61backed Under | 56c | 21.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)Alessandro Costa won
- Will Alessandro Costa win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.