TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ed3…95d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.32
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$123.26
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.74
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.97
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$68.98
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.