MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0bba94acda462d1f9e59acc167ea65b547ff11106fd9414f4ea6b447f5d0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 35,044$18,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,923.98 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 39c | 31,982$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,362.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Houston Astros | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 45c | 22,131$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,131.37 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 25c | 17,613$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,153.59 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 15,464$9,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,166.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 15,000$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,126.86 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 13,874$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 13,833$9,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 33c | 13,283$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,965.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 12,946$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.44 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 36c | 11,646$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 62c | 8,110$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.4 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 45c | 7,777$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.29 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 4,370$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.85 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 4,118$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 3,300$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,583$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.1 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,091$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,950$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 1,884$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…10bebacked Houston Astros | 19c | 1,842$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,773$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,692$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,659$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.49 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.1 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,514$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.16 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,482$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,474$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,449$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.78 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,418$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.78 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,387$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.23 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 25c | 1,350$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.39 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,113$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.07 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…8726backed Houston Astros | 18c | 1,008$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 999.92$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 979$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.66 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 78c | 924.72$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 36c | 910.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.58 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 890.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 47c | 757.35$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.67 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Houston Astros | 47c | 747.95$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 54c | 740.4$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.75 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 722.2$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.77 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 721.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 708.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Houston Astros | 20c | 701.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.19 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 654.54$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 603.79$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 602.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 594.48$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 579$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.71 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros | 32c | 577.34$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 40c | 546.45$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 542.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.38 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Houston Astros | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 49c | 520.09$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 496.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 49c | 463.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 438.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 419.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 416.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 408.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 403.63$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 35c | 401.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…3071backed Houston Astros | 23c | 400.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +339.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 28c | 387.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 27c | 379.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 378.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 368$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 356.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 29c | 319$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Houston Astros | 46c | 312.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 310$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 299.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 299$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Houston Astros | 20c | 291.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 290.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 38c | 286.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 286$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 273.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Houston Astros | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Houston Astros | 44c | 250.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.