TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,602,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,573,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,093 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Golden Knights42c322,683$134,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,699.132343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Hurricanes59c168,219$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,218.521650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden Knights13c98,400$12,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,899.2313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Hurricanes59c90,000$53,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,955.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Hurricanes59c90,000$53,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,9002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Hurricanes60c90,000$53,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,419.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Golden Knights21c80,410$17,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,136.192433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Hurricanes57c76,837$43,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,917.882951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Golden Knights40c65,986$26,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,394.413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Golden Knights40c49,151$19,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,660.4912146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Hurricanes59c48,000$28,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6801060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Golden Knights41c36,585$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights40c33,798$13,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,615.2256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes60c28,335$16,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,372.7128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights35c25,703$8,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,982.0230259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Golden Knights41c22,444$9,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,202.047038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Golden Knights8c21,577$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.522941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden Knights1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+210.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Golden Knights15c20,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cd04backed Golden Knights41c18,737$7,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,681.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked Hurricanes60c18,613$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Hurricanes59c15,763$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,462.715453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes55c15,733$8,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,055.1241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden Knights28c14,916$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.5911251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden Knights29c13,760$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.633036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hurricanes59c13,678$8,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.9540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c77…4d42backed Golden Knights12c13,057$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Golden Knights2c13,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights42c10,195$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.8518452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Hurricanes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Golden Knights29c9,966$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.2127037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights19c9,269$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.4289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Hurricanes60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.333174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes59c8,172$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.3461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Golden Knights41c7,127$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9228345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Hurricanes59c7,107$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.874252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Golden Knights28c7,080$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Golden Knights0c6,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Golden Knights41c6,346$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.3135829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden Knights41c6,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Golden Knights43c5,605$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Golden Knights2c5,565$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5618520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Hurricanes54c5,510$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.683655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Golden Knights40c5,114$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Hurricanes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights5c4,979$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Hurricanes59c4,691$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Golden Knights41c4,390$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Golden Knights41c4,364$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Golden Knights41c4,338$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7906448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Golden Knights42c4,303$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5556…bd83backed Golden Knights7c4,081$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hurricanes60c4,044$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.8414946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Golden Knights41c4,005$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Hurricanes60c3,904$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.463844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hurricanes59c3,900$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1869…fe78backed Golden Knights11c3,743$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Hurricanes55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039f…80cfbacked Golden Knights42c3,636$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Golden Knights4c3,502$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights21c3,373$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.1827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Golden Knights41c3,368$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.883333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Golden Knights41c3,302$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+116.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Golden Knights17c3,119$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.53135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Hurricanes59c3,010$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.422572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Golden Knights41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes45c3,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…f67dbacked Golden Knights4c2,860$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Hurricanes59c2,794$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.5211648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Hurricanes59c2,765$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.731450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights43c2,685$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hurricanes59c2,600$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0665954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Hurricanes59c2,569$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.2942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Hurricanes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Hurricanes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Hurricanes57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Golden Knights41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Golden Knights32c2,437$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.564252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes69c2,430$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.071,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hurricanes60c2,408$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Hurricanes59c2,197$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.2410346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Golden Knights22c2,189$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights8c2,168$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.432,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Hurricanes58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8823969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Golden Knights41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…a89fbacked Golden Knights5c1,999$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Golden Knights29c1,935$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+138.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa698…fc64backed Golden Knights43c1,831$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…d3fcbacked Golden Knights5c1,813$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Hurricanes60c1,800$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Hurricanes59c1,750$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Hurricanes79c1,731$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5617353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Golden Knights41c1,714$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.987147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Golden Knights56c1,708$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.651942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Hurricanes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.