TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Golden Knights23c1,100$253 inLost-$2532343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Hurricanes77c1,100$847 inWon+$2531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes76c450.85$343 inWon+$108.281,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights20c373.51$73 inLost-$73.2699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Hurricanes65c300$195 inWon+$105475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights35c300$105 inLost-$10561848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes77c219.27$169 inWon+$50.4376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Golden Knights23c217.39$50 inLost-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc282…0c5fbacked Golden Knights23c211.87$49 inLost-$48.732828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden Knights33c210$69 inLost-$69.32951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes76c199.75$152 inWon+$47.943,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hurricanes77c189.26$146 inWon+$43.0211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights19c181.88$35 inLost-$35.1117248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Golden Knights24c180$43 inLost-$43.25240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Golden Knights24c104.17$25 inLost-$253135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes76c104.17$79 inWon+$251,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5727…12fdbacked Hurricanes75c101.83$76 inWon+$25.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525b…c7c7backed Hurricanes75c98.17$74 inWon+$24.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Golden Knights21c78.5$17 inLost-$16.7617750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes75c68.5$51 inWon+$17.441,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Hurricanes78c50$39 inWon+$112045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Hurricanes79c18$14 inWon+$3.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hurricanes74c15.57$12 inWon+$4.0560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.