NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46d78135ea35c9ffa987ccb5d26936ba2e863009d507121b04ccd631caf9ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $671,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 45c | 400,000$178,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,999.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 56c | 181,388$101,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,810.83 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Under | 55c | 171,078$94,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,985.24 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 56c | 95,351$53,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,954.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 44c | 45,455$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 55c | 31,444$17,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,264.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Over | 46c | 25,702$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,823.09 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 21,480$9,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 57c | 16,983$9,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.53 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 16,689$9,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,294.88 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 49c | 9,352$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Over | 45c | 8,355$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 43c | 7,422$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 7,143$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.3 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 57c | 6,253$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 43c | 6,160$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 67c | 5,405$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.9 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 5,403$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.38 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 5,341$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 57c | 5,215$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 43c | 4,750$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 42c | 4,313$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Over | 45c | 4,086$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 3,613$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.63 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 44c | 3,589$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.16 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 3,381$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.07 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 44c | 2,626$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 59c | 2,612$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 44c | 2,600$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 45c | 2,503$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 2,410$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.37 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 2,344$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.33 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,014$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 1,951$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.21 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 1,886$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.16 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 1,649$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.25 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Under | 57c | 1,532$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…fc64backed Under | 59c | 1,506$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 1,388$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 54c | 1,319$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.75 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d231backed Over | 46c | 1,270$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 55c | 1,165$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 45c | 1,116$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 1,067$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.13 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 56c | 1,020$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Under | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 49c | 994.21$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 44c | 916.92$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 850.56$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 30c | 818.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 42c | 794.01$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.48 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 47c | 744.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 734.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 687.57$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.84 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 675.57$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 41c | 669.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 63c | 647.06$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 64c | 577.16$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Over | 35c | 572.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 55c | 550.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 56c | 542.07$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.51 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 497.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 28c | 487.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 465.68$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 395.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 52c | 385.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 55c | 378.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 44c | 364.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 32c | 331.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 55c | 268.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 257.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 36c | 254$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Over | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 31c | 235.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 69c | 233$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 49c | 232.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 49c | 232$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 37c | 228.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-4.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.