NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c90bba262c3738837cfd101ac75dbd4f23f13857fd6d318154928d3ad46c513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden Knights | 37c | 554.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden Knights | 77c | 513$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 466.4$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Hurricanes | 63c | 449.62$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 397.1$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes | 23c | 353.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hurricanes | 49c | 305.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 48c | 291.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes | 19c | 234.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights | 53c | 228.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Hurricanes | 22c | 197.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Hurricanes | 33c | 194$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 23c | 173.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Hurricanes | 52c | 132.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Hurricanes | 52c | 129.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 128.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Hurricanes | 36c | 122$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights | 76c | 92.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Hurricanes | 51c | 80.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Hurricanes | 15c | 71.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…4ce9backed Hurricanes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…c7c7backed Hurricanes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Hurricanes | 52c | 65.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Golden Knights | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Golden Knights | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 41.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 39c | 32.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights | 77c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden Knights | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden Knights | 68c | 27.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 27.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Golden Knights | 77c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-4.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.